Bunker Mulligan "Let us endeavor so to live that when we come to die even the undertaker will be sorry." ~Mark Twain

March 14, 2004

Back on Track

Filed under: Golf — Bunker @ 2:40 pm

Today I started hitting the ball well once again. I’ve been struggling of late, shooting in the upper 80s and lower 90s. Today I was on track to break 80 for the first time in a long time. I hit the ball well, but couldn’t make a putt. I had only three one-putt greens and three-putted twice. Nineteen putts on the back nine were enough to put 80 out of reach–I shot 81.

The weather, threatening early, cleared nicely. We had the omnipresent gulf wind of 10-15 mph, but it is a mere breeze compared to what we’ve had recently. One sure sign that winter is over revealed itself today. Actually, they revealed themselves today. Mosquitoes were out in force. I go through four or five cans of Deep Woods Off! each year, and my can is almost empty. Two or three applications per round make the critters bearable.

I’ve been reading A Golfer’s Education, and will finish it tonight so I can trade books with Bogey. Book report in the next few days.

Hint: I like the book.

Strategy

Filed under: International — Bunker @ 2:02 pm

Any time Bogey and I have discussions, I end up thinking about what we’ve said afterwards. Last night, after several emails back and forth (with Birdie putting a word or two in, and he’s actually learning to use the shift key now), I thought about the concept of strategy versus the standard word used today: plan.

It is a common belief in this country that an administration’s strategy for dealing with other countries should be an open discussion. In particular, the press like to have all information. Their belief is that they can synthesize it all for public consumption. But international relationships are really quite complex, and have many layers, some overt, some covert. Unless you are deep within the process, it is difficult to grasp all that is happening.

There is a call from some for Bush to openly discuss what his “plans” are for the future regarding international affairs. I am sure there are many in his administration who would love to tell all. Opening things up would dispel rumors, and make life easier for some. But that would make things very difficult for others. And it would jeopardize many ongoing concerns.

One example may suffice. Saddam Hussein worked relationships through bravado, money, and threats. He determined that the best way to handle things was through secrecy rather than openness. Sometimes that is the way to go, but this time it cost him his position. He played the game expecting to be able to drag things out as he had successfully done for years. He alone determined what would be open and what would be closed. This was his strategy for dealing with the UN and US. It failed because he kept the wrong things secret–things which could have saved his regime.

Our own strategy in prosecuting what has become known as the Bush Doctrine, is secret. It must be. Certain elements of this strategy will be made public, some already have been. But others will remain known to a select few in the Administration. For everything to be open would be to compromise some of the more covert workings. In addition, keeping aspects hidden can also be a tool in itself. Perhaps Qadaffi was being told, by some third party, that he was on a secret target list. Maybe he was, and maybe he wasn’t. But that uncertainty wasn’t something he was willing to deal with. Saddam was being told, in the open, that he was definitely a target. He didn’t believe it.

Using secrecy as a tool is dangerous, as Saddam found out. It is just as dangerous for the US. It is also important. There must be a balance, and there must be good intelligence. Qadaffi could have easily launched some kind of attack in preemption. We must have had some rational belief he wouldn’t if, in fact, we had pressed someone to “tip him off.”

I can imagine many routes for the Administration to follow in their goal toward more representative governments in the world. So far, I have been correct in my assessment, although not 100%. And, some things have not happend (yet?) which I expected. I’ll give my analysis, and hope that whatever direction things go, the final achievement will be a world filled with people having control of their own governments.

Syria and Iran are the two most pressing issues. Both will be pressured in many ways. Syria has occupied Lebanon for twenty years, and things are beginning to heat up a bit there. Lebanese want Syrian troops out of their country. Bush will do what he can to provide support by pressing Assad militarily from the east, and socially and diplomatically from the west. Israel may lend assistance covertly, or with strikes in the Golan Heights area.

Iran will be pressured from the west with military presence on their border with Iraq and the implementation of a secular Muslim government this summer. At the same time, more US troops will be operating in Afghanistan. The US will provide support in covert ways to dissidents in Iran.

The hope is that both autocracies will fail under their own weight. Once that happens, Saudi Arabia is isolated, and so is Yasser Arafat. Both will have to change or be replaced. James spent some time on this issue. The Hashemites, who currently rule Jordan, would like very much to see the Sauds gone.

For our part, any desire for specific changes and the mechanism for those changes must remain secret. To openly profess a determination to see the Sauds or Assads of this world gone could actually work against that end.

Korea is yet another problem which people want to group into the issues in the Middle East. Bush did this himself, and I think he now regrets it in some way. Not that he was wrong, but that divulging of this secret didn’t get the results he hoped for. Now, we must depend on others to make the changes. China, Japan, and South Korea all have special interest in seeing Kim Jung Il gone from the scene. And they would like to see him depart in a way that minimizes conflict on the peninsula. Minimize is my word of choice because I believe what many in the military have over the years: We do not station troops there to keep the North out of the South, but to keep the South from trying to move into the North. Both sides want unification. If Kim were to step down, go into exile, or be killed, some form of conflict will erupt. It may be isolated, and that, I think, is the best we could hope for.

If Kim remains, he will be the joker in the deck. I doubt anyone can predict his actions (his own strategy, perhaps), and having custody of nuclear weapons means he can cause major problems either by using them himself or passing them along to others. Bush will continue to press him through others. It is the best route to a solution. The three other main players in the area have far more at stake than do we.

The Bush Strategy will remain secret for the most part. It will become an issue as opponents, foreign and domestic, press for explanation of his “plan.” I support Bush primarily because he is taking a long-term view of the world situation rather than the easy route that counts time only in election cycles. He has already shown his willingness to take the political risks by invading both Afghanistan and Iraq. People forget how risky those decisions were as his enemies complain that he did them for political gain. It is a difficult route for a politician to follow. Yet it is one which must be followed for any true measure of success.

March 13, 2004

Bush vs. Kerry

Filed under: Politics — Bunker @ 3:45 pm

Bogey asked Birdie and myself why military people like Bush more than Kerry. He asked after Birdie sent this photo from Baghdad:

sticker (49K)

One of Birdie’s troops put the sticker on the vehicle at a check point.

Bogey is a seeker of truth. My response to him follows, in somewhat edited form.

The problem people have understanding this is that Bush and company have a strategy rather than a plan. Plans change, and must be flexible. That’s what you see. The White House is responsible for the strategy, not the plan. This is the problem we ran into during Vietnam–the White House wanted to run plans and tactics, and had no strategy at all.

My problem with Kerry, from all the research I’ve done, is that he went to Vietnam as a last resort when he wasn’t allowed a deferment to go to Europe. He went specifically to get a few medals and come home. I would guess this was at Ted Kennedy’s recommendation, as Kerry was involved with the Clan all his life. On returning, he ran for Congress and lost. He then took up the anti-war crusade.

After all that, I could ignore everything. Unfortunately, he went to the extreme as a way of getting known so he could, again, run for office. When he presented lies to Congress and accused everyone in the military of war crimes, he proffered assistance to the North Vietnamese in their propaganda war. That is not simply “speaking out against the war.” I also wonder how much value to place on his medals. What I’ve read of his actions tells me he did nothing more than what he was expected to do. Nothing heroic except putting himself in danger. That’s what military people do. In a war, they do it daily. Medals are awarded for “exceptional” bravery. I haven’t seen anything that merits that adjective.

Kerry’s entire life has been spent in pursuit of this goal–the Presidency, the next JFK (which is how he liked to be referred to at one time).

As to Bush’s service in the Texas ANG, I would assume he had assistance in getting a flying slot. Going through the Guard was the best chance to do that because these are direct postings, unlike active duty where selection is made after you join. When people claim he did this to avoid Vietnam, they don’t grasp that pilot training is more than a year long. When he began, there was reasonable expectation of going to Nam. In fact, I would think that being a fighter pilot in combat would be a goal for someone with a father who had been the youngest pilot in the Navy during WWII. I have seen comments from former commanders that Bush actually requested assignment to Vietnam, but was turned down because he hadn’t yet acquired enough experience. I don’t know whether these are true, but I had the same thing happen to me. And, as with Bush, the drawdown began before I was eligible to go.

I had no opinion on Kerry until I began looking into his history recently. I have no use for him as a leader of any kind. I don’t believe, after all these years, he is capable of making a decision. I also worry that if he is elected, we have basically elected Kennedy–something he couldn’t achieve on his own.

Bush did not spend his life in pursuit of politics. His brother Jeb was the one the family all expected to eventually run for President. I don’t know what caused him to run for Governor, or for President. I disagree with him on many things. But two where I agree are of prime concern to me this election. And in these two things, he and Kerry differ as opposites. They are the War on Terrorists, and Supreme Court nominations.

Bush has nominated judges who read the Constitution, and rule in the spirit of the document as written. Kerry, and many others, want judges who will rule based on what they think the Constitution would read if written today. It is a living document, but it must get changed only in the way it says it can be changed.

Bush views terrorists as warring combatants. Kerry views them as criminals. The legal approach cannot work unless every country in the world works with us. They will not. Germany, a supposed ally, just released (within the last year) two terrorists, convicted by jury, because a judge didn’t feel the evidence was strong enough. What was the point of having a jury hear the case? And who would have arrested bin Laden or Hussein? Or their minions?

No representative government in history (that I am aware of) ever attacked another representative government. Bush’s strategy is to extend this form of government, whatever it’s mechanics, to the rest of the world. I think it is a worthwhile endeavor, and something that has never been attempted.

After spending a lot of time looking into Kerry’s background, I would never consider voting for him. Given a choice between him and Dean, Dean would easily be my choice. I might even consider Al Sharpton! The only democrat in the group who could do the job is Joe Lieberman, and the party faithful didn’t want him. That concerns me. It says the Democratic Party leaders are out of touch with the majority in this country. When Ed Koch endorses Bush, you have to pay attention.

Military people do not, in general, determine their vote based on whether the candidate is a veteran. People draw that conclusion because most military folks did not like Clinton. The reason is one far more important to many military personnel: respect. Clinton made no effort to hide his disgust of anyone who was stupid enough to join the military. My paraphrase is very close to his words. They also disliked him because he dishonored his oath, and lied. In the military, lying is the kiss of death for a career. Military professionals take integrity very seriously. That’s one reason we, as a group, get pissed when someone accuses Bush of lying.

Many people were in Vietnam. Many served with far more distinction than Kerry. As a veteran of that era, I can say it is not a major issue for me one way or the other. Many vets were drafted rather than enlisting because a draftee served only two years instead of four. If you preferred not to go, you took your chances with the draft even though you weren’t anti-war. But that doesn’t mean they should be President. Bob Kerry (former Senator and MoH recipient) wasn’t, in my opinion, presidential material. Neither is John McCain. Democrats would love to see him join the ticket because he was a POW. Yet he got into the Naval Academy because his father and grandfather were admirals. Would those who complain about Bush be willing to admit that? I doubt it.

So, Kerry’s duty gains him little, if anything, with the military. Bush’s service gains or loses him little. The prime issue for those who might really care will be those who see Kerry’s military service as opportunistic rather than honorable.

In my opinion, he has many more negatives in the past 30+ years which would override anything positive I might have seen.

French Joke

Filed under: Bunker's Favorites — Bunker @ 3:17 pm

I couldn’t pass up this joke:

A lion in the zoo was lying in the sun licking its rear end when a visitor turned to the zoo keeper and said, “That’s a docile old thing isn’t it?”

“No way,” said the zoo keeper, “it’s the most ferocious beast in the zoo. Why just an hour ago it dragged a Frenchman into the cage and completely devoured him.”

“Hardly seems possible” said the astonished visitor, “but why is it lying there licking its rear?”

“The poor thing is trying to get the taste out of its mouth.”

I picked this up from a link at John Ray’s site. It goes to another blog which has an interesting “Found Nemo” graphic you need to see.

March 12, 2004

Cuba Gooding

Filed under: General Rants — Bunker @ 8:08 pm

We’re watching Radio with Cuba Gooding, Jr., in the title role.

Gooding, as always, is very good. What struck me tonight, though, was his ability to embody the characters he plays. He is a black Dustin Hoffman. I know, that sounds racist. Hoffman varied in appearance and mannerisms in every role he played, especially early in his career. Gooding has the same qualities.

It is a rare talent. Most actors, even those I consider very good, tend to play the same person, regardless of role. All that changes is the dialog and costuming. Even that sometimes stays the same (John Wayne, for example). Tom Hanks and Denzell Washington are two terrific actors who come to mind that carry any role they have, but always bring much of the same to each role.

Hoffman, and now Gooding, bring life to the character beyond their own personalities.

The movie is based on a true story, and is pretty predictable, but well worth watching just for Gooding’s performance.

Big Daddy

Filed under: Military — Bunker @ 5:25 pm

Birdie and his squad found a photo of Saddam. This is the result.


birdieandsaddam (88K)

GIs haven’t changed much over the centuries. I would bet Caesar’s legionnaires did similar things. A few more new photos on Birdie’s page.

March 11, 2004

Have you seen it all?

Filed under: Bunker's Favorites — Bunker @ 8:03 pm

When you’ve reached the end of your rope, take a look.

Thanks to Curmudgeon Emeritus Francis Porretto.

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