Somewhere on the internet yesterday a pundit wondered how President Kerry would be able to continue the WoT considering how military folks view him. He intends to increase the size of the Army by two divisions, but the writer didn’t see that as within the realm of possiblility.
It is. What it would mean, though, is understrength divisions–divisions on paper. Or else he would have to activate the draft.
I didn’t see any need for a draft at all until I read that. I can see the point now, though. In 1992, we began a draw-down of the military. It was a benefit of the Peace Dividend–the implosion of the Warsaw Pact. Bush 41 and his Secretary of Defense, Dick Cheney, had a plan for demobilizing many units to better reflect what would be needed in the future, and putting the men and money where they could be used most effectively.
Then Bush lost to Clinton. The plan pretty much fell apart, not because of any change in it by Clinton, but because many military professionals decided the time had come to retire or separate. The personnel strength dropped dramatically. Clinton often stated that the government had shrunk under his leadership, yet every government department except DoD grew. The net decrease was the result of reductions in the military.
People in the military apparently feel the same today about John Kerry as we did about Bill Clinton. We didn’t particularly dislike Clinton, but he often spoke of his disdain for anyone in uniform, and folks didn’t want to work for a boss like that. Kerry’s status with the military is similar.
If elected, President Kerry will potentially drive many experienced people out simply by being their Commander-in-Chief. We could see, once again, an exodus. It would make it quite difficult for the Army to add two divisions.
And maybe that’s what Kerry already understands. Perhaps his harping on a draft at this time is preemptive. If he does need to bring it back, he can always blame Dubya for leaving him with an incomplete military.